Univariate Forecasting
Forecast Strategies
Forecast Settings
Model Initialization
Reinitialization
Example: Reinitialization by Copying Historical Values
Trend Dampening Options for Exponential Smoothing
Trend Dampening with Phi Parameter
Ex-Post Forecast
Moving Average Model
Weighted Moving Average Model
Constant Model w. 1st Order Exponential Smoothing
Automatic Adaptation of the Alpha Factor
Trend/Seasonal Models with First-Order Exponential Smoothing
Models with Second Order Exponential Smoothing
Linear Regression
Seasonal Linear Regression
Median Method
Automatic Model Selection Procedure 1
Automatic Model Selection Procedure 2
Manual Forecast
Croston Method
Outlier Correction
Outlier Correction with the Ex-Post Method
Outlier Correction with the Median Method
Forecast Accuracy Measurements
Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)
Error Total (ET)
Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE)
Mean Square Error (MSE)
Root of the Mean Square Error (RMSE)
Mean Percentage Error (MPE)