Entering content frame

Object documentationTrend/Seasonal Models w. 1st Order Exp. Smoothing Locate the document in its SAP Library structure

Definition

The following formula is used in forecast strategies 20, 21, 30, 31, 40 and 41, and in forecast strategies 50 to 56 where a trend, seasonal, or seasonal trend model is determined. The calculation takes into account both trend and seasonal variations. The basic value, the trend value and the seasonal index are calculated after the initial period.

See also Model Initialization as well as the definition of exponential smoothing in the APO Glossary.

Formula for First-Order Exponential Smoothing in a Trend, Seasonal or Seasonal Trend Model

This graphic is explained in the accompanying text

This graphic is explained in the accompanying text

This graphic is explained in the accompanying text

This graphic is explained in the accompanying text

Use

Use the trend, seasonal or seasonal trend model with first-order exponential smoothing for time series that have trend-like patterns and/or seasonal variations.

Leaving content frame