Example: Credit Risk Scenario 
The following example illustrates a hypothetical scenario for a euro debt crisis.
In the IRB approach, all the risk parameter specifications are applied in the specified countries to the country portfolio only; in the standardized approach for credit risk, they are also applied to multilateral development banks and other public sector entities. These specifications are characterized by their own asset classes in each approach.
PD stress: scenario for the segmentation of the PIIGS countries
Country |
Risk Parameter Specification |
|---|---|
Greece |
PD = 15% (stressed PD value) |
Portugal |
Downgrading of current rating by 3 notches |
Ireland |
Downgrading of current rating by 2 notches |
Spain |
Downgrading of current rating by 2 notches |
Italy |
Relative increase of current PD value by 10% |
The unstressed ratings apply to all other countries and asset classes.
Loss given default (LGD)
An LGD scenario is defined in the same segmentation as for the PD stress scenario. This is restricted to the same countries and asset classes:
Country |
Risk Parameter Specification |
|---|---|
Greece |
Absolute shift of the current LGD by 10% |
Portugal |
Relative shift of the current LGD by 10% |
Ireland |
Default stressed LGD value of 43.5% |
Spain |
Default stressed LGD value of 41.2% |
Italy |
Absolute shift of the current LGD by 5% |
The unstressed LGDs apply to all other countries and asset classes.
Financial collateral/reductions in the value of government bonds
The stress refers to a reduction in the value of government bonds, which are used as collateral for credit exposures, by the specified percentage:
Country |
Risk Parameter Specification |
|---|---|
Greece |
50 % |
Portugal |
15 % |
Ireland |
15 % |
Spain |
10 % |
Italy |
3 % |
The securities are not stressed for all other countries and asset classes.