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Function documentationStatistical Forecasting

 

In statistical forecasting for SAP Supply Network Collaboration (SAP SNC), the supplier can create a long-term forecast based on historical sales data sent by the customer. The customer sends historical sales data to the supplier using a ProductActivityNotification XML message. The supplier uses the customer data to run a forecast based on various forecasting models. The supplier can choose which forecasting model to use as follows:

  • Interactively on the statistical forecasting Web screens

  • By pre-assigning the forecast model using a forecast profile

  • By letting SAP SNC automatically assign the forecasting model

    For SAP SNC to automatically assign the forecasting model, the supplier chooses the automatic model selection in the forecast profile. SAP SNC determines the forecast that produces the best result by running all of the available forecasting methods or using the planner-specified forecasting methods to apply the best one.

Features

Web Screens for Statistical Forecasting

In the responsive replenishment view and the supplier view of the SAP SNC Web user interface, there are three different Web screens in which the supplier can display and edit forecast data. For more information, see Web Screens for Statistical Forecasting.

Key figures for Statistical Forecasting

Statistical forecasting offers various key figures to help the user analyze the forecast data. For more information, see Key Figures in Forecasting.

Forecast Profile

The supplier can create a forecast profile with which to run statistical forecasting. The forecast profile combines the following:

  • Forecasting parameters

  • Forecasting model

  • Forecasting measurement errors

  • Number of forecasting and history periods

For more information, see Forecast Profile.

Forecasting for New Products

The supplier can create the following profiles for new products or products that are being discontinued:

  • Like Profile

    For new products that have no historical data or insufficient historical data, the supplier can create a Like profile that models an existing product with sufficient historical data. You maintain the Like profile on the Forecast Parameters Web screen or on the SAP Easy Access screen under   Demand  Forecasting  Current Settings  Update Forecast Master Data Records  . For more information, see Maintain Like Profiles.

  • Phase-in profile

    The supplier can use the phase-in profile for products that are new and are being phased into the inventory of the customer. You maintain the phase-in profile on the Forecast Parameters Web screen or on the SAP Easy Access screen under   Demand  Forecasting  Current Settings  Update Forecast Master Data Records  .

  • Phase-out profile

    The supplier can use the phase-out profile for products that are being discontinued. You maintain the phase-out profile on the Forecast Parameters Web screen or on the SAP Easy Access screen under   Demand  Forecasting  Current Settings  Update Forecast Master Data Records  .

Note Note

You can only define and maintain phase-in and phase-out profiles on the SAP Easy Access screen if you are using SAP SNC as part of the SCM Server installation.

End of the note.
Releasing Statistical Forecasts

From statistical forecasting, forecast data can be released as follows:

  • The supplier can release the statistical forecast data to collaborative sales forecasting where suppliers and customers can use consensus finding to compare forecast data and come to a common agreement about the sales forecast.

  • The supplier can release the statistical forecast to short-term forecasting to make more refined forecast calculations on a daily level.