Forecast-Based Planning 

Use

Forecast-based planning is also based on material consumption. Like reorder point planning, forecast-based planning operates using historical values and forecast values and future requirements are determined via the integrated forecasting program. However, in contrast to reorder point planning, these values then form the basis of the planning run. The forecast values therefore have a direct effect in MRP as forecast requirements.

Features

The forecast, which calculates future requirements using historical data, is carried out at regular intervals. This offers the advantage that requirements, which are automatically determined, are continually adapted to suit current consumption needs. The forecast requirement is reduced by the material withdrawal so that the forecast requirement quantity that has already been produced is not included in the planning run again.

Reducing Forecast Requirements

If consumption is higher than the forecast requirements in the current month, then the system also reduces future forecast requirements.

If consumption is higher than the forecast requirements in the current month, then the system does not reduce future forecast requirements.

The reduction of the forecast requirements is based on average daily consumption. Actual consumption data is not relevant.

The system calculates the average daily requirement first using the formula forecast requirement/number of workdays in the forecast period.

The forecast requirements are then reduced by the quantity resulting from the following formula: number of workdays worked x average daily requirements.

Period Pattern and Forecast Periods

You can specify the period pattern for the forecast (daily, weekly, monthly or per accounting period) and the number of periods to be included in the forecast individually for each material. It is possible, however, that the forecast period pattern is not specific enough for planning purposes. In this case, you can define per material that the forecast requirements should be divided according to a finer period pattern for planning. You can also define how many forecast periods are to be taken into account during requirements planning. The splitting indicator is defined in Customizing for MRP per plant and per period unit and is assigned to the material in the material master.

For a monthly forecast, the requirements date would be set on the first workday of the month because, for planning, it is assumed that the total requirement must be available at the beginning of the period. You can then divide this monthly requirement into either daily or weekly requirements.